Note: Due to sad demise of one of family members, I could not send updates for last 13 days.
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Performance Update of 30-08-2012
Intraday Calls given through Twitter and Yahoo Messenger
Fresh Recommendations for 17-09-2012
Buy IVRCLINFRA at market price for target price of 46.50. CMP: 41.55. Stop loss 39.90 on closing basis.
Buy Crompton Greaves for target price of 112. CMP: 107.50. Stop loss 105.5 on closing basis.
Nifty has rallied close to 2.5% on 14th on the back of quantitative easing in US and partly due to further cuts in Diesel and Cooking Gas subsidy, which would improve fiscal deficit by just Rs. 20000 crore. Govt is expected to embark on close to Rs. 6 lac crore fiscal deficit this year. All efforts, Govt is making are just to ensure that India is not declared “JUNK” by global rating agencies.
Another reason for this tough decisions is – Govt will face General Election in 2014. If you look at Govt finances, Govt has no room to declare social welfare schemes if it is run at 6-7% fiscal deficit. All Govt is trying to do, is to increase revenue this year to spend it back for election agenda in 2014.
Nifty has given good breakout, I expect it to continue upside. 5600-5650 looks at arms distance now. Actually, this breakout has open upside possibilities of 5860 and 6163. Hence, if you are long, hold on position and if not, you can create a fresh long position on Monday with said targets. Nifty is in overbought zone hence it may consolidate for a day or two. But, it would not disrupt upside momentum.
I had maintained stand, that I would wait till it breaches band of 55-56 and will play the side it breaks out. I expect it to strengthen further. 53 looks very much achievable.
Gold has scaled newer highs in past few days in Indian rupee. Gold now looks overbought and indicates consolidation of few days around this levels.
Now, it may happen that for some days, Gold will not translate international prices as it had been doing for past many months. Yesterday, Gold and Silver corrected just because rupee appreciation. And, as I said Rupee will continue to appreciate for some days, Gold may not show upside even if in international market it rises. But, I am not asking to sell the long positions. Hold on long positions. We may get chance to add more as it consolidates.
Gold should find support around 31300.
As expected, Silver has outperformed Gold. I expect, this outperformance to continue. Hold on long positions. Silver will consolidate around this level. Silver should find support between 63000-62000.
I will remain sideways. Will update as opportunity arises.
Please understand, Intraday movement of Indices and Stocks change frequently and with that technical updates, too. I will post intraday updates through Twitter(dhaval shah@tradingwealth) and Yahoo Messenger. Hence, willing traders and readers can send request to Yahoo ID- dcshah76 to add their Ids on Yahoo messenger or may follow me on twitter .
Disclaimer: Daily Wealth is a free daily investment newsletter published by Investment Academy. This publication does not provide individual, customized investment or trading advice. All information is based upon data whose accuracy is deemed reliable, but not guaranteed. Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates, but hypothetical as we do not track actual prices of customer purchases and sales. Author might have open positions in the stocks and Indices recommended above.